“There isn’t a drop-dead date when we’re going to make a cast-iron decision, but we are being really agile, similar to the men’s Uefa European Championship and the considerations for the Olympic Games. The advantage for us is that we have much more time than either of those two events.
“We are still very optimistic, but that’s tempered with being realistic with the challenges we face.”
How can the competition cope with potential revenue decrease?
If the World Cup had to be played in front of half-empty stadiums, organisers might turn to the government to help cover some of the lost income.
Central government has already provided £15m towards the costs of staging the tournament, with up to £10m more to fund legacy projects in the community.
“There is concern about the budget if we couldn’t run the tournament in front of full stadia,” said Dutton.
“We’ve always been pretty clear that about 90% of our revenue is from ticket sales and from our government funding. If we got into a position where we could run a tournament but the capacity was radically reduced, then there is more reliance on our government funding partners to meet any deficit and that’s obviously a conversation we’ve been having for some time.
“This tournament is like never before in terms of the level of government funding, but what that brings is an enormous amount of scrutiny, quite rightly.
“Yesterday Culture Secretary Oliver Dowden tweeted about the World Cup. Before Christmas he spoke in Parliament that he hoped that this would be the first event in the UK back in front of full stadia.
“Nigel Huddleston, Sports Minister, has talked very positively about the tournament. So government support is there and there is the government’s levelling-up agenda and the importance of this for the north of England.
“The reliance on government and their input into decision making is critical.”
Worst-case scenarios for RLWC 2021
Postponing the tournament for 12 months would be a very last resort for the organisers. Moving the World Cup to 2022 would mean ripping up most of the plans and starting again and that would create a huge challenge.
“It’s significant,” said Dutton. “We have 21 venues, we have 32 teams, we have 18 host towns and cities and we have commercial partners. The dates are very challenging too.
“If we moved the tournament back exactly 12 months, there would be a clash with the last week of our tournament and the first week of the Fifa World Cup in Qatar, and that to me seems wholly unpalatable.
“That would prompt some further thinking and discussions both with Super League and the NRL in terms of their seasons. So postponement, yes we have a plan but it isn’t an option that fills me with much excitement at the moment.
“Time is still on our side. We are in such a good place.
“Our ticket sales in 2020 massively exceeded our expectations, we’re financially stable, so the foundation is built. We need the environment to change the way we hope.”